graph TD START["Prediction Prompt: What will happen if...?"]:::prompt --> CORRECT{"Correct Prediction?"}:::decision CORRECT -->|"Yes"| MECH["Mechanism Probe: Why does that happen?"]:::prompt CORRECT -->|"No"| COUNTER["Counterfactual Probe: What would change if...?"]:::prompt CORRECT -->|"Hedged / Uncertain"| BOUND["Boundary Probe: When would this not apply?"]:::prompt MECH --> RUNNABLE["Runnable Correct Model"]:::diagnosis MECH --> VERBAL["Verbal Rule Without Model"]:::diagnosis COUNTER --> STABLE["Stable Misconception"]:::diagnosis COUNTER --> FRAGILE["Fragile Partial Model"]:::diagnosis BOUND --> FRAGILE2["Fragile Partial Model"]:::diagnosis BOUND --> NOMODEL["No Model"]:::diagnosis RUNNABLE --> MOVE1["Next: More retrieval practice"]:::move VERBAL --> MOVE2["Next: Worked example"]:::move STABLE --> MOVE3["Next: Dissonance-producing counterexample"]:::move FRAGILE --> MOVE4["Next: Direct conceptual-change intervention"]:::move FRAGILE2 --> MOVE4B["Next: Direct conceptual-change intervention"]:::move NOMODEL --> MOVE5["Next: Foundational re-teaching with worked example"]:::move classDef prompt fill:#4A90D9,stroke:#2C5F8A,color:#fff classDef decision fill:#F0C75E,stroke:#D4A017,color:#333 classDef diagnosis fill:#E8795A,stroke:#C0392B,color:#fff classDef move fill:#2D9C6F,stroke:#1E7A55,color:#fff