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References: Systems Thinking and Causal Loop Diagrams

  1. System dynamics - Wikipedia - Explains the analytical framework developed by Jay Forrester for modeling complex feedback systems using stocks, flows, and causal loops, the core methodology this chapter applies to the quantum computing investment ecosystem.

  2. Causal loop diagram - Wikipedia - Describes the notation and interpretation of causal loop diagrams including polarity labels and loop classification, the primary visual tool this chapter uses to map four reinforcing loops driving quantum computing hype.

  3. Positive feedback - Wikipedia - Explains how reinforcing feedback loops amplify initial perturbations toward exponential growth or collapse, directly relevant to this chapter's identification of self-amplifying hype dynamics in quantum computing investment.

  4. Thinking in Systems: A Primer (2008) - Donella H. Meadows - Chelsea Green Publishing - The foundational popular text on systems thinking that identifies twelve leverage points for intervening in complex systems, the framework this chapter applies to find where honest assessment could break the quantum computing hype cycle.

  5. The Fifth Discipline: The Art and Practice of the Learning Organization (Revised Edition, 2006) - Peter M. Senge - Currency/Doubleday - Introduces systems thinking as a management discipline with detailed explanation of reinforcing and balancing loops, providing the organizational context for understanding how institutions perpetuate quantum computing investment.

  6. Leverage Points: Places to Intervene in a System - Donella Meadows, Sustainability Institute (1999) - The seminal essay ranking twelve leverage points from least to most effective, directly referenced in this chapter's analysis of where interventions could most effectively break self-sustaining hype cycles.

  7. System Dynamics Society Resources - System Dynamics Society - Professional organization providing methodological standards for causal loop diagram construction and system dynamics modeling, supporting the analytical rigor of the feedback models presented in this chapter.

  8. The Dynamics of Technology Hype - Technological Forecasting and Social Change (2020) - Academic analysis modeling technology hype as a system dynamics phenomenon with reinforcing loops, providing empirical validation of the feedback structures this chapter identifies in quantum computing.

  9. Arms Race Dynamics in Emerging Technology - RAND Corporation - Analysis of how geopolitical competition creates reinforcing investment loops in emerging technologies, directly relevant to this chapter's examination of the geopolitical arms race loop driving quantum computing funding.

  10. Publication Bias and the File Drawer Problem - Robert Rosenthal, Psychological Bulletin (1979) - Foundational paper on how preferential publication of positive results distorts the scientific record, supporting this chapter's analysis of how the hype reinforcement loop is fed by selectively published quantum computing results.