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Breakthrough Dependencies Map

This interactive visualization shows the ten breakthroughs required before quantum computing can become commercially viable. Each node represents a breakthrough area, with sliders to adjust estimated progress. The key insight: all ten breakthroughs must reach 100% before any commercial value emerges. Partial progress, no matter how impressive, yields zero commercial return.

How to Use This MicroSim

  • Hover over a node to see its description and current progress in the details panel.
  • Click a node to highlight its dependency chain and coupling relationships.
  • Adjust sliders in the right panel to explore how progress in each area affects the overall picture.
  • Use the preset buttons to compare the current state of the field (2025 estimates), an optimistic 2035 scenario, and the full-success case.
  • Red coupling edges between nodes indicate bottleneck pairs where both breakthroughs have low progress.

View Breakthrough Dependencies Map MicroSim Fullscreen

Notice that even in the optimistic 2035 scenario, no single breakthrough reaches 100%, and the commercial viability node remains blocked. This illustrates why partial progress across multiple fronts does not translate to partial commercial value -- the system exhibits an all-or-nothing dependency structure.