Skip to content

TRL Assessment Tool

This MicroSim applies the Technology Readiness Level (TRL) framework to quantum computing, providing a visual assessment of where the technology stands on the standard 1-to-9 readiness scale used by NASA, the Department of Defense, and major technology investors.

The TRL framework divides technology maturity into three phases: Research (TRL 1-3), Development (TRL 4-6), and Deployment (TRL 7-9). Quantum computing currently sits at roughly TRL 3-4, meaning basic principles have been demonstrated in laboratory settings but the technology has not been validated in any relevant operational environment.

TRL Assessment MicroSim

View TRL Assessment Tool MicroSim Fullscreen

Click on any TRL level to see detailed criteria and evidence for quantum computing's status at that level. The thermometer visualization uses color coding to show achieved levels (green), partially achieved levels (yellow), and unachieved levels (red). Comparison markers for Classical AI and Quantum Sensors show where other technologies stand at comparable investment levels, providing context for evaluating quantum computing's progress.

Key Takeaways

  • Quantum computing sits at TRL 3-4 — basic principles demonstrated, but not validated in any relevant operational environment.
  • Classical AI reached TRL 8 with similar total investment, highlighting the contrast in technology maturity trajectories.
  • The gap between TRL 4 and TRL 7 represents the "valley of death" where most technologies fail to cross from lab demonstration to operational deployment.
  • Investment level does not determine TRL — spending more money does not guarantee advancement through readiness levels when fundamental physics barriers remain unresolved.