MicroSimulations for Tracking AI Course
AI Task Completion Time Horizons
Interactive visualization showing how long different AI models can work on tasks before failing. Toggle between linear and logarithmic scales, and compare 50% vs 80% success probabilities.
Run the AI Task Horizons MicroSim
AI Benchmarks Timeline
Timeline visualization of major AI benchmark milestones. Track the progression of AI capabilities across different evaluation frameworks.
Run the AI Benchmarks Timeline
MMLU Timeline
Interactive timeline showing AI model performance on the MMLU benchmark over time. Visualize how models have improved on multitask language understanding.
Run the MMLU Timeline MicroSim
LM Arena Timeline
Language Model Arena performance tracking over time. Compare how different models rank based on human preferences.
AI Doubling Rate
Analysis showing that AI task completion length has been doubling approximately every seven months. Includes 95% confidence intervals calculated by hierarchical bootstrap.
Run the AI Doubling Rate MicroSim
Four Futures
Explore four different scenarios for the rate of change of AI capabilities. Compare pessimistic, conservative, moderate, and optimistic AI progress trajectories.
AI Pace Accelerating
Interactive visualization demonstrating the accelerating pace of AI development. Shows how AI progress is speeding up over time.
Run the AI Pace Accelerating MicroSim
Moore's Law
Infographic showing Moore's Law progression in both linear and log scales. Interactive hover elements explain transistor count growth over decades.
Power Wall
Visualization of the CPU clock speed "power wall" phenomenon. Shows why processor speeds plateaued due to power consumption constraints.
AI Flywheel
Causal loop diagram illustrating how AI improvements create a self-reinforcing cycle. Interactive infographic showing feedback loops in AI development.
AI Causes of Acceleration
Causal loop diagram showing multiple factors driving AI acceleration. Explore how AI feedback loops are accelerating AI progress.
Autoregressive
Interactive demonstration of autoregressive text generation. Visualize how language models predict one token at a time.
Run the Autoregressive MicroSim
Tokenizer
Interactive tool demonstrating how text is broken into tokens. See how language models process and understand text input.
Bloom's Taxonomy
Interactive infographic with hover boxes showing the six levels of Bloom's Taxonomy. Explore cognitive learning objectives from Remember to Create.
Run the Bloom's Taxonomy MicroSim
Book Generation Workflow
Workflow diagram showing the steps for generating intelligent textbooks. Interactive infographic of the AI-assisted book creation process.
Run the Book Generation Workflow MicroSim
Book Levels
Interactive visualization of the five levels of intelligent textbooks. Compare static PDFs to fully adaptive AI-powered learning systems.
Learning Graph
Interactive graph visualization for exploring course concept dependencies. Navigate relationships between learning objectives and prerequisites.
Run the Learning Graph MicroSim
Porter's Five Forces
Interactive diagram of Porter's Five Forces strategic analysis framework. Analyze competitive forces shaping industry structure and profitability.
Run the Porter's Five Forces MicroSim
AI SWOT Analysis
Interactive SWOT (Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, Threats) analysis tool for AI. Strategic planning framework for evaluating AI adoption.
Run the AI SWOT Analysis MicroSim
Technology Adoption Curve
Interactive infographic visualizing the Technology Adoption Lifecycle. Explore innovators, early adopters, early majority, late majority, and laggards.
Run the Technology Adoption Curve MicroSim
Technology Hype Cycle
Gartner's Technology Hype Cycle applied to AI development. Track technologies from innovation trigger through plateau of productivity.
Run the Technology Hype Cycle MicroSim
AI Capability Maturity Model
Five-level maturity model for organizational AI capabilities. Assess and plan AI integration from initial awareness to optimization.
Run the AI Capability Maturity Model MicroSim
GenAI Idea Funnel
Interactive funnel showing the process of managing a GenAI Center of Excellence. Visualize how AI ideas progress from conception to implementation.
Run the GenAI Idea Funnel MicroSim
AI Timeline
View key events in the history of AI and see how they are spaced. Interactive timeline of major AI breakthroughs and milestones.