Risk Adjustment and Capitation Calculator MicroSim
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About This MicroSim
This calculator shows how risk adjustment and capitation work together to determine a provider group's finances. The HCC risk score rises with patient age and chronic-condition prevalence; multiplying it by the base per-member-per-month (PMPM) rate gives the risk-adjusted payment, and times the panel size and twelve months gives annual capitation revenue. Projected medical costs also scale with risk, so a sicker panel earns more but costs more — and the operating margin can easily go negative without effective care management.
How to Use
Adjust the panel size, average age, and chronic-condition prevalence sliders to change the risk profile (watch the risk distribution and mean shift), and set the base PMPM rate. The financial panel shows risk-adjusted revenue, projected cost, surplus or deficit, and operating margin. When the margin runs thin, raise the care-management slider to reduce high-risk utilization and push the panel back toward the black — the central financial challenge of managing care under capitation.
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Lesson Plan
Grade Level
9-12 (High School Geometry)
Duration
10-15 minutes
Prerequisites
TODO: List prerequisites.
Activities
- Exploration (5 min): TODO
- Guided Practice (5 min): TODO
- Assessment (5 min): TODO
Assessment
TODO: List assessment criteria.
References
- TODO: Add references.